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05.01.2021 Xmas 21 – A Year in Conjunction Plots

7,5 Million conjunctions between 11/20 and 12/21 in plots to get an impression of the developments in Outer-Space A safe and good 2022 from the Space Analyses Team!

Development of the Risks at Near Earth Orbit (350-2000km) in Outer Space in the last 10 month.

The charts show the daily probability of a conjunction smaller that 10m based on the given relative object dynamics. The probability is calculated in a day-to-day process from public available TLE’s. The development shows a total increase from 6% to 7.6% of a conjunction between two objects in low Earth Orbit smaller than 10m in…